Thursday, April 12, 2007

Wanted: A Conservative-Enough Candidate Who Can Win In November

Bill Hobbs (at elephantbiz.com) posts about Richard Viguerie's opinion that the GOP race is still prime for a darkhorse's emergence. ("Wanted: A Conservative-Enough Candidate Who Can Win In November"). Hobbs writes:
"Each of the 'big three' have enough conservative 'stuff' in their record to win over some [Conservatives looking for the most conservative candidate who can win the general election] - Giuliani cut taxes in New York, was tough on crime and is seen as a leader who won't shrink from the war on terror; McCain's also right on the war and solidly pro-life; and Romney stood against gay marriage and for cutting taxes in the liberal bastion of Massachusetts. But none is a complete conservative, hence the reluctance of [Conservatives looking for the most authentically Conservative] to gravitate toward any of them.

Yet the dismal poll numbers for the more conservative candidates . . . tells you that the group of conservatives seeking a conservative who can win in November is actually quite large, while the group of conservatives just looking for the most authentically conservative candidate is smaller.

And yet the fact that none of the Big Three is running away with the race also tells you that the group of conservatives seeking a conservative who can win in November is not yet convinced that any of the three can win the general election."
I agree that Conservative Republicans can be split into those categories, but I disagree with Bill inasmuch as his post assumes that (a) people are paying attention to the race and (b) name ID has a HUGEly disproportionate impact on who people "support" in a poll at this stage.

I believe that it is early enough that noone needs to be biting a knuckle and jumping on any perceived bandwagon. In my opinion, the GOP race is still in the "getting the parade permit stage."